China's Playbook

China Will Never Beat Taiwan, Here’s Why

Mar 27, 2026 · 22:54

This episode argues that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) built an uncopyable monopoly—the "Silicon Shield"—on an island whose hostile geography and geopolitical limbo forced it to out-engineer the world. It traces how Taiwan, expelled from the UN Security Council in 1971 in favor of the People's Republic of China, pivoted to chipmaking, adopting the just-in-time system Japan used to beat Detroit and packing 530 companies and 20 fabs around Tsinghua and Chiao Tung universities in Hsinchu Science Park, which makes essentially 100% of the most advanced chips. The episode claims Taiwan's typhoons, droughts, and earthquakes on the ring of fire drove a discipline that yields more than 8 working chips per 10 while Samsung can't hit 5 and Intel reaches maybe 7. Morris Chang's foundry model—never designing a chip, only manufacturing—won Apple after Steve Jobs' fury at Samsung copying the iPhone, and Apple's role as anchor tenant co-develops each generation, keeping Taiwan semi years ahead as a neutral "Switzerland" every country depends on.

Why Hasn't China Collapsed?

Jun 3, 2025 · 19:59

Leland Miller of China Beige Book joins Maxinomics to explain how Xi Jinping's CCP keeps China predictable by controlling what's made, where people move and who enters. State-owned enterprises—9 trillion of China's 16-trillion stock market—let the party pick winners, steering cheap state credit into solar, EVs, batteries and shipbuilding. Hukou rules grew Shenzhen from 30,000 people in 1980 to 18 million, while the Great Firewall and the scrapped Ant IPO after Jack Ma called Chinese banks pawn shops cap speech and business. At 0.07% immigrants and under 2,000 new citizens a year, China stays closed yet gave Tesla a fully owned Shanghai factory to trigger the catfish effect that seeded its EV industry. Miller rejects collapse predictions: the non-commercial financial system doesn't fail like the West's.

The REAL Reason the US Is Betting on Tariffs

Jan 8, 2025 · 11:10

Host Phil Andrews argues the US has been in a trade war with China since the 2000s and that tariffs—not the WTO—are America's remaining defense against dumping, forced technology transfer, and IP theft. After China joined the WTO in 2001, the US could no longer unilaterally set tariffs, and years-long WTO disputes let Chinese solar firms bankrupt the US solar industry. The Trump administration blocked WTO judges until the court fell to two members by 2019, and the Biden administration extended most Trump tariffs. The episode covers China's hacks of Westinghouse blueprints and the F-35 plans, and the 1964 chicken tax that pushed Toyota, Honda, and Nissan into US truck plants. Andrews argues tariffs don't cause inflation and that 5 million manufacturing jobs left the US between 2000 and 2010.